Cerebras Systems expects $880-890 million in core revenue for 2026, comparable to Nvidia's data center business revenue of $830 million in fiscal 2017. However, the similarities end there. Unlike Nvidia, which had a profitable gaming business funding its AI expansion, Cerebras is unprofitable with negative operating margins and relies on just three customers for three-quarters of revenue. The stock trades at 44x expected revenue and is valued at two-thirds of Nvidia's entire 2016 market cap, raising questions about whether it can replicate Nvidia's growth trajectory.
Axe note: Cerebras is growing fast but lacks Nvidia’s solid foundation and profitability, raising big questions for investors.