Rigetti Computing stock has declined from $56 to $14 since October. The article analyzes three scenarios for the quantum computing company: a base case of continued milestone delivery with minimal revenue against high R&D spending, a bullish case where cloud services generate recurring revenue, and a bearish case of missed milestones and share dilution. The company has $569 million in cash, $4.4 million in Q1 revenue, and $19.9 million in R&D spending, with upcoming catalysts including a planned 1,000+ qubit U.K. system and potential $100 million in government funding.
Axe note: Rigetti Computing’s struggles highlight why speculative tech needs a cautious eye, especially from a South African perspective.