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Should You Buy Palantir Technologies Stock While It's Trading Below $140?

2026-07-20 17:06 David Jagielski, Cpa The Motley Fool Negative Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsTechnologyAISemiconductorsFinancials PLTR

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Palantir’s AI Growth is Impressive, But Valuation Demands Caution

Despite strong growth and margins, Palantir’s sky-high valuation makes it a risky bet for South African investors.

Palantir Technologies shines in the AI boom with 85% revenue growth and hefty 44% profit margins. Yet, its share price drop to below $140 after a 24% decline this year hasn’t corrected what looks like an overstretched valuation. A price-to-earnings ratio near 150, falling to 90 going forward, means the market expects near-perfect execution for years. That’s a lot to ask, even for best-in-class software. For us in SA, the direct play on Palantir in dollars translates to watching USD/ZAR closely—any rand weakness could deepen losses. More broadly, high-growth names at such multiples tend to face sharp pullbacks, especially if the US dollar strengthens, squeezing rand-denominated investors further. On the flip side, Palantir’s unique AI niche and robust margin structure could surprise on the upside if it consistently beats earnings. But that’s a big ‘if’, so patience and selective exposure are key. this is just my opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Avoid buying Palantir outright for now; it’s better to watch USD/ZAR trends and wait for a meaningful valuation reset. If exposure is needed, keep positions very small and manageable.

Focus assets
  • PLTR
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • US dollar strengthens, pressuring rand investors
  • Growth disappointments lead to sharp price declines
Confidence

6/10

Palantir Technologies has delivered impressive financial results with 85% growth and 44% profit margins, driven by AI capabilities. However, despite a 24% decline this year and trading below $140, the stock remains expensive with a P/E multiple around 150 and forward P/E of 90x, making it vulnerable to sharp sell-offs if growth expectations aren't met.

This article was originally published by The Motley Fool and has been adapted here for Axe Capital Trading News.

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Author: David Jagielski, Cpa

Categories: Equities, Earnings, Technology, AI, Semiconductors, Financials

Tickers: PLTR

Sentiment: Negative - While the company demonstrates strong fundamentals with exceptional growth (85%) and high profit margins (44%), the analyst explicitly recommends against buying due to excessive valuation. The P/E multiple of ~150 and forward P/E of 90x create significant downside risk if the company fails to meet elevated market expectations, making the stock vulnerable to sharp declines despite solid business performance.

Keywords: Palantir Technologies, artificial intelligence, stock valuation, growth stocks, tech stocks, profit margins, earnings expectations

Insights:

  • PLTR: Negative: While the company demonstrates strong fundamentals with exceptional growth (85%) and high profit margins (44%), the analyst explicitly recommends against buying due to excessive valuation. The P/E multiple of ~150 and forward P/E of 90x create significant downside risk if the company fails to meet elevated market expectations, making the stock vulnerable to sharp declines despite solid business performance.

Read the full article at the source