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Why Did SpaceX Stock Drop Again on Monday?

2026-07-20 17:33 Rich Smith The Motley Fool Negative Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsIPOs SPCX

Axe Capital view

SpaceX Hits Turbulence: What It Means for SA Investors

SpaceX shares slumped after a failed Starship test, raising valuation concerns amid no profits.

SpaceX’s recent share price drop after a botched Starship test flight speaks volumes about investor patience. Trading at 84 times trailing revenue with no profits, SpaceX is a classic example of a “growth story” that demands near-perfect execution. Here in South Africa, where tech-heavy listings remain limited, the best way to track global tech risk is through USD/ZAR moves — the rand often weakens when risk appetite falters. SpaceX's slump could nudge the rand weaker if it triggers broader tech sell-offs, given Naspers and Prosus’s heavy exposure to global tech. But for now, South African banks and retailers, which lean more on domestic conditions, are less affected by this splashy but profit-distant saga. Investors hungry for growth must remember that high valuations need earnings to justify them. This story might turn if SpaceX can prove it can deliver on profits, but until then, be wary. this is just my opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

I would watch USD/ZAR closely for signs of risk aversion and trim Naspers or Prosus on rallies, avoiding direct exposure here. Prefer South African banks like Standard Bank that have steadier earnings and less reliance on global tech sentiment.

Focus assets
  • USD/ZAR
  • Naspers
  • Prosus
  • Standard Bank
What could go wrong
  • SpaceX manages to turn profitable faster than expected, reviving risk appetite for global tech
  • Rand volatility spikes beyond recent trading ranges due to global or domestic shocks
Confidence

6/10

SpaceX stock fell below its IPO price after scrubbing a Starship test flight due to engine ignition failures. Despite Elon Musk's promise to retry within days with replacement engines, investors continued selling the stock on Monday. The company trades at 84x trailing revenue with no current profits, leaving analysts questioning the valuation until profitability materializes.

This article was originally published by The Motley Fool and has been adapted here for Axe Capital Trading News.

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Author: Rich Smith

Categories: Equities, Earnings, IPOs

Tickers: SPCX

Sentiment: Negative - Stock dropped below IPO price following a failed launch attempt. Despite management's quick recovery plan, investors are selling due to lack of profitability (trading at 84x revenue with no earnings), suggesting the valuation cannot be justified until the company demonstrates actual profits.

Keywords: SpaceX, stock decline, Starship test flight, engine failure, IPO price, valuation, profitability

Insights:

  • SPCX: Negative: Stock dropped below IPO price following a failed launch attempt. Despite management's quick recovery plan, investors are selling due to lack of profitability (trading at 84x revenue with no earnings), suggesting the valuation cannot be justified until the company demonstrates actual profits.

Read the full article at the source