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This Utility Has Raised Its Dividend for 31 Straight Years. Here's the 1 Number I'd Check Before Buying.

2026-10-14 08:30 •Jeff Siegel •The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective •Equities•Earnings•Capital Returns •NEE•NEEPN•NEEPS•NEEPT•NEEPU•NEEPV•NEEPW

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Dividend Streaks Are Nice, But Check The Payout Ratio First

NextEra Energy's 31-year dividend growth is impressive, but the payout ratio is the real tell.

NextEra Energy has something many investors like: a consistent dividend hike for over three decades. That signals a company confident in its cash flow and earnings. But before jumping in, look at the dividend payout ratio — the share of earnings paid out as dividends. At 62-64% based on 2026 guidance, it's on the higher side but still manageable for a regulated utility. This matters because a payout that's too high can leave little room for surprises or reinvestment. The utility's promise of 8% annual earnings growth through 2035 and rising electricity demand add backing to its sustainability story. For South African investors, direct exposure is limited since NextEra isn’t JSE-listed, so the USD/ZAR rate comes into play—anything that strengthens the rand versus the dollar makes foreign dividends effectively more attractive. Watch out though: if inflation spikes or regulatory environments change, that payout ratio could become a problem. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Watch USD/ZAR closely and consider hedging against rand weakness when adding foreign dividend plays. Avoid chasing high payout ratio utilities on the JSE; better to wait for stable dividend cover in local counters like Sasol or FirstRand.

What I would watch
  • USD/ZAR
  • Sasol
  • FirstRand
What could go wrong
  • Rising inflation impacting payout sustainability
  • Regulatory changes increasing cost pressure
How strongly I feel

6/10

NextEra Energy has increased its dividend for 31 consecutive years and plans ~10% annual growth through 2026, followed by ~6% increases in 2027-2028. The key metric to evaluate is the dividend payout ratio, which stands at 62-64% against 2026 earnings guidance—a manageable level for a regulated utility. With strong earnings growth targets of at least 8% annually through 2035 and rising electricity demand, NextEra's dividend appears sustainable for another decade.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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